So What's Up With the Daytona Market?

While, overall, the vintage Ferrari market has been creeping upwards over the past few years, several models in the 6-figure range have moved in leaps and bounds. I attribute much of this movement to what I call the "Push & Pull," where a particular car makes dramatic moves up or down in the marketplace (for whatever reason) and this movement, in turn, has an effect on other models within or near its price range. As most of you are aware, the Lusso (250 GT/L), long undervalued, has, in recent years, began to come into its own, doubling in value during that time. This has had a direct effect on models that were traditionally considered more valuable by "pushing" their values upward as well as on lesser valued models such as the PF Coupe and GTCs by "pulling" them along into the over-$100K club, which brings me to the question:
Why do Daytona coupe values appear to be unaffacted by this?
My answer? Because the Daytona is too far removed from the Lusso in terms of both style and substance and doesn't attract the same buyer. The PF Coupe is the direct ancestor to the GT/L and the GTC is the direct descendant. While the 275 berlinettas don't fall into this same blood line (actually being the direct ancestor of the Daytona), these cars share that 1960s appeal that attracts the Lusso buyer and have probably been pushed up as a result of the Lusso crowding their place in the market.
The 365 GTB/4 "Daytona" marked a major change in direction for the Pininfarina/Ferrari collaboration, yet that direction would soon change again with the introduction of the much more modern Berlinetta Boxer series, leaving the Daytona in a styling world of its own and, even though the 275 GTB/4 is it's direct ancestor, I think that 275 prices have little effect, if any, on those of its more plentiful (1284 Daytonas vs 330 275 GTB/4s) offspring. In fact, Daytona values seem to have almost as few ties to Berlinetta Boxer prices as they do the the 275 market.
So, to address the question I'm asked most, "When will Daytona coupes take off in the marketplace?", the answer is that I don't see that happening anytime soon. Sure, they'll continue a gradual climb along with the rest of the market, but I dont see them following Lussos up to anywhere near the $300K mark over the next couple of years.
Have I said otherwise in the past? Sure, but now that the Lusso dust has settled, things have become more clear (I changed my mind!). So, who's to say I won't change my mind again? Heh, heh. Remember, it's all just entertainment, baby!
6 Comments:
Let's just say that I wouldn't hold my breath if I were you.
While I think there are some interesting things happening with the 2+2 market, I don't have any immediate plans to deal with that topic here. Give me time and I'll get around to it eventually.
This is excellent Wayne - how does one subscribe to your blog? Apologies if I missed a "subscribe" link somewhere.
JOEV,
If you check under "View My Complete Profile," you'll find a link to my email address but, to make it easier, here it is:
LWAusbrooks@aol.com
Send me an email with "SUBSCRIBE MERCATO" in the subject line and I'll add you to my list. Every time a new article is posted, you'll receive a heads-up email with a link to the site.
If you're interested in following the comments posted by others and my responses, however, you might want to check in from time to time.
Thanks!
11199, thanks for asking. I'll be touching on some of the issues you bring up in my next entry, which will be posted by tomorrow night.
Nice blog, Wayne! I look forward to reading more.
It seemed for a while like Daytonas were starting that same upward movement, with talk of good coupes in the 170k range, then it all seemed to blow over and here we are back in the 130 range.
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